JPMorgan’s Derivatives Blow-Up May Benefit Taxpayers

Just when the big financial institutions were pushing back on the dreaded Volcker rule, JP Morgan Chase blows up 1% of its capital. The company (Ticker: JPM) is expected to post $4 billion in earnings in its current fiscal quarter. Still, the timing of the trading snafu couldn’t have come at a worse time. See comments from the CFA Institute, who argue this will help prove the case for the Volcker Rule. My take? The regulators can’t stop stuff like this from happening if Jamie Dimon can’t. And I agree with Charlie Gasparino: Just how do you break up a JPM anyway? Read the rest of this entry »

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The Facebook IPO Bringing Out the Bucket Shops

REPcover0312Our good friend and contributor Josh Brown, a financial advisor who runs theReformedBroker blog says the bucket shops are in full tilt trying to scam ignorant but rich people in Reg D vehicles, promising them that they will hold Facebook shares. BTW, Brown wrote our cover story, “Staying Out of Murder Holes,” a primer on which financial products to avoid. Read the rest of this entry »

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Americans Paying More in Taxes than for Food, Clothing, and Shelter

Pay your fair share.

Pay your fair share.

The Tax Foundation, founded in 1937, is a non-partisan think tank. Its mission, though, is obviously anti-Washington because its agenda is to educate Americans about our Byzantine tax system and advocates a simpler, fairer tax code. Today, the Foundation reports that, “In 2012, Americans will pay approximately $4.041 trillion in taxes, which is $152 billion, or 3.9 percent, more than they will spend on housing, food, and clothing. Through looking at contemporary data and examining the trend of tax collections and expenditures on housing, food, and clothing, we can compare the costs of government with the necessary costs individuals incur every year. Relative to the basic cost of living, taxes have increased considerably in recent decades. In turn, a greater share of essential private expenditures are now funded through government outlays.” Those government outlays (promises), BTW, threaten to bankrupt us unless promises will be broken. Read the rest of this entry »

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ICI Mutual Fund Flow Data Show Investors Selling at Wrong Time

Below is the mutual fund asset flows dating back to 2007 as complied by the Investment Company Institute. Basically, retail investors have been selling equity funds since then. It would be interesting to superimpose the S&P 500’s returns over this period. But how to get nervous clients back into equities? How do you talk them back in the market after this latest crisis? Do you jump in and out of the market? Read the rest of this entry »

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Retail Investors Continue to Sell Stock Funds

The Investment Company Institute reports today that the selloff of domestic equity funds continues —- even as the market rallies. How are you handling your clients? Are they still rick averse? Read the rest of this entry »

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Have Housing Prices Bottomed?

A real steal, this fixer-upper.

A real steal, this fixer-upper.

Here is an interesting note on housing prices by Dick Bove, of Rochdale Securities. Basically he argues that housing prices have bottomed. There is an interesting article in SmartMoney that argues, adjusted for inflation, houses are back to 1895 valuations. (Yes, 1895.) The article in SmartMoney is called Why U.S. House Prices Won’t Recover. Who is right? Read the rest of this entry »

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How Changes in 401(k) Plans Are Causing Young People to Load Up on Stocks

Stan Luxenberg, our long-time mutual funds contributing editor, sent me an interesting observation today about how new laws surrounding 401(k) plans are helping prop up the market.

Stan told me, “Plenty of young people have soured on stocks. After suffering the dotcom meltdown and the financial crisis, they have been favoring bonds. Some pundits worry that an entire generation may stay away from stocks. But the outlook is not all bleak. Sweeping changes in 401(k) plans are leading many people in their 20s to load up on stocks. According to a study by Vanguard, plan participants in their 20s are now allocating 85% of their assets into equities. That is up from 41% in 2003. Have the young people become bullish on stocks? Hardly. The big shift can be attributed to the rise of target-date funds and automatic enrollment plans. Many target date portfolios designed for young people keep 90% of assets in stocks. Young people are automatically defaulted to the target funds. The heavy use of stocks is good for the markets and should help the young people get better long-term returns.”

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Get Financial Advice from the Bible

bible moneyFile this under either: “The Most Clever Marketing Strategy This Week” or “What an Idiot.” Received this bit of nonesense (well, a strong word, no insult intended, but religion and money? Really?) from a flak this morning in the form of a press release; at first I regarded it as a late April Fool’s joke. I mean who relies on financial advice from “research” conducted 2,000 years ago? (”Go long donkey breeders?”) Read the rest of this entry »

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Morgan Stanley Posts Best Performance in a Year

Brad Hintz, a senior research analyst at Bernstein Research and former CFO of Lehman years ago, still ranks Morgan Stanley (Ticker: MS) an outperform. Here are some of his thoughts. But Hintz still revised downward his 2012 EPS. Note his opinion of the retail advisory unit, Morgan Stanley Smith Barney. Our own Kristen French noted in a recent story that MSSB lost advisors but the ones who stayed were more productive. Read the rest of this entry »

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The Psychology of Retail Investors

Always seem to be naked when the investing tide rolls out.

Always seem to be naked when the investing tide rolls out.

It amazes me how people continue to make the same mistakes over and over again. (Me? Nah, I wouldn’t ever!) I’d like to believe that people are rational, that they act in an enlightened self-interested way. But, again, when it comes to investing, the animal spirits—the ancient lizard brain—controls the rational, modern mind. Read the rest of this entry »

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